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experiments-database/analysis/matlab/results/paper_mergeA2.txt
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Experiments DB Dev 963fd889b2 feat(matlab): windowed paper-LME replication for mergeNaive (d0_10, d0_13)
Make tdcs_paper_lme window-aware (windowKey 'full'|'d0_10'|'d0_13',
default 'full' -> unchanged filename). Windowed runs give the two anchor
arms equal day coverage, so the stim:day interaction is not confounded by
the full-range coverage imbalance; the report now states whether coverage
is equal and adds an INTERPRETATION block. Add switch cases
paper_mergeNaive_d0_10 / _d0_13 and include them in run_all.

Finding: unlike mergeA2 (fair-window interaction n.s.), the pooled-naive
control keeps the interaction significant in the fair d0_13 window
(F(1)=7.07, p=0.0088, +1.80 [+0.46,+3.14]; equal on Day 1 p=0.20),
reproducing the paper without the coverage confound; d0_10 is borderline
(p=0.051).

Tests: tLme asserts equal coverage / no warning / one full summary for
both windows and a significant positive d0_13 interaction; bad windowKey
errors. Suite 41/41.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-20 17:49:09 -04:00

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==============================================================================
PAPER LME REPLICATION -- mergeA2 (full range)
==============================================================================
model: behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat) [stim: Electrode-Box-B2=1 vs Electrode-Box-A2=0]
behavior = successful reaches (COUNT per session)
N = 8 rats, 109 sessions (day raw; day 0 = paper "Day 1")
day coverage: stim(B2) 0..22, control(A2) 0..14
** WARNING: unequal day coverage -- the full-range stim:day interaction
extrapolates the control group's line and is CONFOUNDED here (the paper's
groups had equal coverage). See the _d0_13 fair-window and phased analyses. **
==============================================================================
FULL MODEL SUMMARY -- fitlme: behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat)
==============================================================================
Linear mixed-effects model fit by ML
Model information:
Number of observations 109
Fixed effects coefficients 4
Random effects coefficients 8
Covariance parameters 2
Formula:
behavior ~ 1 + day*stim + (1 | rat)
Model fit statistics:
AIC BIC LogLikelihood Deviance
962.68 978.83 -475.34 950.68
Fixed effects coefficients (95% CIs):
Name Estimate SE tStat DF pValue
{'(Intercept)'} 20.701 4.9127 4.2138 105 5.3256e-05
{'day' } 6.8599 0.69872 9.8178 105 1.5726e-16
{'stim' } 22.092 6.4372 3.4319 105 0.00085848
{'day:stim' } -2.1793 0.81821 -2.6635 105 0.0089525
Lower Upper
10.96 30.442
5.4745 8.2453
9.3279 34.855
-3.8016 -0.55692
Random effects covariance parameters (95% CIs):
Group: rat (8 Levels)
Name1 Name2 Type Estimate
{'(Intercept)'} {'(Intercept)'} {'std'} 2.1043e-15
Lower Upper
NaN NaN
Group: Error
Name Estimate Lower Upper
{'Res Std'} 18.954 16.597 21.644
effect t (df) F (df1) p
------------------------------------------------------------------
stim x day (interaction) t(105)= -2.66 F(1)= 7.094 p=0.008953
day (learning) t(105)= 9.82 F(1)= 96.388 p=1.573e-16
stim (main, Day 1) t(105)= 3.43 F(1)= 11.778 p=0.0008585
interaction 95% CI: [-3.80, -0.56]
INTERPRETATION
- stim x day interaction: SIGNIFICANT (p=0.0090, slope diff=-2.18) -> tDCS (Box-B2) improves SLOWER -- groups converge.
- stim main effect on Day 1 (our day 0): SIGNIFICANT (p=0.0009) -> groups already DIFFER on Day 1.
Paper (N=24): interaction t(227)=2.68, F(1)=7.12, p=0.008; day t(227)=9.64,
F(1)=267.64, p=1.2e-18; stim t(227)=0.23, F(1)=0.053, p=0.81.