function PW = tdcs_power_sim(mergeKey, window, Ns, effMuls, nrep, cfg) %TDCS_POWER_SIM Monte-Carlo power for the paper's stim x day interaction. % Uses the paper's exact model -- fitlme(tbl, 'behavior ~ stim + day + % stim:day + (1|rat)') -- throughout. The fitted model for MERGEKEY over the % WINDOW = [lo hi] day range (Box-B2 = stim = 1 vs Box-A2 = stim = 0) is the % ground truth (its fixed effects, rat random-intercept SD, residual SD); % NREP datasets are simulated at each rats-per-group in NS, for each % true-effect multiplier in EFFMULS (e.g. [1 0.5] = observed and half the % observed stim:day slope). Each dataset is scored at alpha = 0.05 two ways: % - per-animal (cluster-honest): per-rat behavior~day slope, Welch t (stim) % - LME: the fitlme stim:day interaction p (observation-level DF) % PW is a table (effMul, N, powerPerAnimal, powerLME); also printed. A fixed % RNG seed makes the estimate reproducible. % % Defaults: WINDOW=[0 5] (early phase), NS=[3 5 8 12 16 24 30], % EFFMULS=[1 0.5], NREP=200. if nargin < 1 || isempty(mergeKey); mergeKey = 'mergeA2'; end if nargin < 2 || isempty(window); window = [0 5]; end if nargin < 3 || isempty(Ns); Ns = [3 5 8 12 16 24 30]; end if nargin < 4 || isempty(effMuls); effMuls = [1 0.5]; end if nargin < 5 || isempty(nrep); nrep = 200; end if nargin < 6 || isempty(cfg); cfg = tdcs_config(); end warnState = warning('off', 'all'); cleanupW = onCleanup(@() warning(warnState)); %#ok rng(1); FORMULA = 'behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat)'; % Ground truth = fitted paper model over the window. Sfull = tdcs_scenario_data([mergeKey '_full']); A = Sfull(ismember(Sfull.group, {cfg.anchorLow, cfg.anchorHigh}), :); A = A(A.day >= window(1) & A.day <= window(2), :); tbl0 = table(); tbl0.behavior = A.success; tbl0.day = A.day - window(1); % 0-based within the window tbl0.stim = double(A.group == cfg.anchorHigh); tbl0.rat = A.subject; lme = fitlme(tbl0, FORMULA); cn = lme.CoefficientNames; be = lme.fixedEffects; b0 = be(strcmp(cn,'(Intercept)')); bStim = be(strcmp(cn,'stim')); bDay = be(strcmp(cn,'day')); bInt = be(strcmp(cn,'day:stim')); psi = covarianceParameters(lme); sRat = sqrt(psi{1}); sRes = sqrt(lme.MSE); days = (window(1):window(2))' - window(1); fprintf('Power sim (paper formula): truth=%s window %d-%d | stim:day=%.2f ratSD=%.2f resSD=%.2f | nrep=%d\n', ... mergeKey, window(1), window(2), bInt, sRat, sRes, nrep); rows = {}; for eMul = effMuls bI = bInt * eMul; fprintf('\n true stim:day interaction = %+.2f (%.0f%% of observed)\n', bI, eMul*100); fprintf(' %-8s | per-animal power | LME power\n', 'N/group'); for N = Ns sigPA = 0; sigL = 0; for r = 1:nrep tbl = localSim(N, days, b0, bStim, bDay, bI, sRat, sRes); sigPA = sigPA + (localPerAnimalP(tbl) < 0.05); try m = fitlme(tbl, FORMULA); Cm = m.Coefficients; sigL = sigL + (Cm.pValue(strcmp(Cm.Name,'day:stim')) < 0.05); catch end end pPA = sigPA / nrep; pL = sigL / nrep; fprintf(' %-8d | %5.2f | %5.2f\n', N, pPA, pL); rows(end+1, :) = {eMul, N, pPA, pL}; %#ok end end PW = cell2table(rows, 'VariableNames', {'effMul','N','powerPerAnimal','powerLME'}); end function tbl = localSim(N, days, b0, bStim, bDay, bI, sRat, sRes) nd = numel(days); rows = 2*N*nd; rat = strings(rows,1); day = zeros(rows,1); stim = zeros(rows,1); behavior = zeros(rows,1); k = 0; for g = 0:1 for sIdx = 1:N re = sRat * randn; rid = sprintf('g%d_r%d', g, sIdx); for d = 1:nd k = k+1; rat(k) = rid; day(k) = days(d); stim(k) = g; behavior(k) = b0 + bStim*g + bDay*days(d) + bI*days(d)*g + re + sRes*randn; end end end tbl = table(categorical(rat), day, stim, behavior, ... 'VariableNames', {'rat','day','stim','behavior'}); end function p = localPerAnimalP(tbl) rats = unique(tbl.rat); sl = zeros(numel(rats),1); gr = zeros(numel(rats),1); for i = 1:numel(rats) r = tbl.rat == rats(i); c = polyfit(tbl.day(r), tbl.behavior(r), 1); sl(i) = c(1); gr(i) = tbl.stim(find(r,1)); end [~, p] = ttest2(sl(gr==1), sl(gr==0), 'Vartype', 'unequal'); end