% Variation log-day analysis + Cohen's f + power simulation, for BOTH metrics: % metric = count : behavior = # successes -> logpower_result.txt % metric = rate : behavior = success / attempts -> logpower_result_rate.txt % % The paper's power code models behavior against LOG training day: % behavior ~ stim + log(day) + stim:log(day) + (1|rat). % Their day is 1-indexed; our data.csv day is 0-indexed, so log(day + 1) % reproduces their transform (our day 0 = paper "Day 1"). For each metric this % refits that model, reports the interaction (residual / Satterthwaite / honest % per-animal random-slope DF) and Cohen's f (partial-eta^2 effect size), then % runs the Monte-Carlo power sim (per-animal cluster-honest + LME power). % Run: matlab -batch "logpowersim" % (Copy of analysis/matlab/variation_logpower.m; see make_variation_logpower.m.) here = fileparts(mfilename('fullpath')); if isempty(here); here = pwd; end vname = regexprep(here, '.*[/\\]', ''); D = readtable(fullfile(here, 'data.csv'), 'TextType', 'string'); localLogPower(D, 'count', here, vname); localLogPower(D, 'rate', here, vname); % ---------------------------------------------------------------- per metric function localLogPower(D, metric, here, vname) NS = [3 5 8 12 16 24]; EFFMULS = [1 0.5]; NREP = 120; FORMULA = 'behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat)'; % 'day' = log(day+1) if strcmp(metric, 'rate') D = D(D.total > 0, :); beh = D.success ./ D.total; mlabel = 'success RATE'; suffix = '_rate'; else beh = D.success; mlabel = '# successes (count)'; suffix = ''; end warnState = warning('off', 'all'); rng(1); logday = log(D.day + 1); tbl0 = table(beh, logday, double(D.stim), categorical(D.subject), ... 'VariableNames', {'behavior', 'day', 'stim', 'rat'}); nStim = numel(unique(D.subject(D.stim == 1))); nCtrl = numel(unique(D.subject(D.stim == 0))); bar = repmat('=', 1, 78); s = sprintf('%s\nLOG-DAY MODEL + COHEN''S f + POWER -- %s [metric: %s]\n%s\n', bar, vname, mlabel, bar); s = [s sprintf('model: behavior ~ stim + log(day) + stim:log(day) + (1|rat) (behavior = %s)\n', mlabel)]; s = [s sprintf('log(day) uses 1-indexed training day (our day 0 = paper "Day 1")\n')]; s = [s sprintf('observed groups: stim n=%d, control n=%d nrep=%d, alpha=0.05\n', nStim, nCtrl, NREP)]; if nStim < 2 || nCtrl < 2 || numel(unique(tbl0.day)) < 2 s = [s sprintf('\nInsufficient data for this analysis.\n')]; localFinish(s, here, suffix); warning(warnState); return end full = fitlme(tbl0, FORMULA); An = anova(full); Asatt = anova(full, 'DFMethod', 'satterthwaite'); ii = strcmp(An.Term, 'day:stim'); is = strcmp(Asatt.Term, 'day:stim'); reduced = fitlme(tbl0, 'behavior ~ stim + day + (1|rat)'); eta2part = max((var(fitted(full)) - var(fitted(reduced))) / var(tbl0.behavior), 0); cohenf = sqrt(eta2part / (1 - eta2part)); rsP = NaN; rsDf = NaN; rsF = NaN; rsOk = false; try mr = fitlme(tbl0, 'behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (day|rat)'); Ar = anova(mr, 'DFMethod', 'satterthwaite'); ri = strcmp(Ar.Term, 'day:stim'); rsF = Ar.FStat(ri); rsDf = Ar.DF2(ri); rsP = Ar.pValue(ri); rsOk = true; catch end if cohenf < 0.10; mag = 'small'; elseif cohenf < 0.25; mag = 'small-medium'; elseif cohenf < 0.40; mag = 'medium'; else; mag = 'large'; end s = [s sprintf('\n--- fitted on real data ---\n')]; s = [s sprintf('stim x log(day) interaction: F(1,%d)=%.3f p(resid)=%.4g p(Satt)=%.4g (df=%.0f)\n', ... An.DF2(ii), An.FStat(ii), An.pValue(ii), Asatt.pValue(is), Asatt.DF2(is))]; if rsOk s = [s sprintf(' honest per-animal random slope (log-day): F(1,%.1f)=%.2f p=%.4g\n', rsDf, rsF, rsP)]; else s = [s sprintf(' honest per-animal random slope (log-day): did not converge\n')]; end s = [s sprintf('Cohen''s f (interaction, partial eta^2=%.3f) = %.3f (%s; f: .10 small, .25 medium, .40 large)\n', ... eta2part, cohenf, mag)]; cn = full.CoefficientNames; be = full.fixedEffects; b0 = be(strcmp(cn, '(Intercept)')); bStim = be(strcmp(cn, 'stim')); bDay = be(strcmp(cn, 'day')); bInt = be(strcmp(cn, 'day:stim')); psi = covarianceParameters(full); sRat = sqrt(psi{1}); sRes = sqrt(full.MSE); days = unique(tbl0.day); s = [s sprintf('\n--- power simulation (log-day ground truth: stim:logday=%+.4g, ratSD=%.4g, resSD=%.4g) ---\n', ... bInt, sRat, sRes)]; for eMul = EFFMULS bI = bInt * eMul; s = [s sprintf('\n true stim:log(day) = %+.4g (%.0f%% of observed)\n', bI, eMul * 100)]; s = [s sprintf(' %-8s | per-animal power | LME power\n %s\n', 'N/group', repmat('-', 1, 42))]; for N = NS sigPA = 0; sigL = 0; for r = 1:NREP tb = localSim(N, days, b0, bStim, bDay, bI, sRat, sRes); sigPA = sigPA + (localPAp(tb) < 0.05); try m = fitlme(tb, FORMULA); Cm = m.Coefficients; sigL = sigL + (Cm.pValue(strcmp(Cm.Name, 'day:stim')) < 0.05); catch end end star = ''; if N == nStim || N == nCtrl; star = ' <- observed'; end s = [s sprintf(' %-8d | %5.2f | %5.2f%s\n', N, sigPA / NREP, sigL / NREP, star)]; end end s = [s sprintf('\nRead per-animal as the honest power; LME matches the paper''s power code (optimistic).\n')]; localFinish(s, here, suffix); warning(warnState); end % ---------------------------------------------------------------- helpers function localFinish(s, here, suffix) fprintf('%s', s); fid = fopen(fullfile(here, ['logpower_result' suffix '.txt']), 'w'); fprintf(fid, '%s', s); fclose(fid); end function tbl = localSim(N, days, b0, bStim, bDay, bI, sRat, sRes) nd = numel(days); rows = 2 * N * nd; rat = strings(rows, 1); day = zeros(rows, 1); stim = zeros(rows, 1); behavior = zeros(rows, 1); k = 0; for g = 0:1 for sIdx = 1:N re = sRat * randn; rid = sprintf('g%d_r%d', g, sIdx); for d = 1:nd k = k + 1; rat(k) = rid; day(k) = days(d); stim(k) = g; behavior(k) = b0 + bStim * g + bDay * days(d) + bI * days(d) * g + re + sRes * randn; end end end tbl = table(categorical(rat), day, stim, behavior, ... 'VariableNames', {'rat', 'day', 'stim', 'behavior'}); end function p = localPAp(tbl) rats = unique(tbl.rat); sl = zeros(numel(rats), 1); gr = zeros(numel(rats), 1); for i = 1:numel(rats) r = tbl.rat == rats(i); c = polyfit(tbl.day(r), tbl.behavior(r), 1); sl(i) = c(1); gr(i) = tbl.stim(find(r, 1)); end [~, p] = ttest2(sl(gr == 1), sl(gr == 0), 'Vartype', 'unequal'); end