analysis(matlab): Box-A pooling variations (b2 vs a2+a, b2+a vs a2)
Add make_boxa_variations.m producing 6 variation folders (data.csv + analyze.m + result.txt) for the paper LME over windows 0-5, 6-10, 0-10: boxa_a2 B2 vs A2 + Box-A (b2 vs a2+a) boxa_b2 B2 + Box-A vs A2 (b2+a vs a2) plus variations/boxa_summary.csv (residual / Satterthwaite / random-slope interaction p). Early window (0-5) is obs-level significant (res p~0.03-0.04) but n.s. under the honest random-slope test (rs p~0.13); later windows n.s. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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% Variation analysis -- the paper's linear mixed model on the successful-reach
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% COUNT, fit on this folder's curated data subset.
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%
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% model: behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat)
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% behavior = successful reaches (count per session)
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% stim = 1 for the treatment group(s), 0 for the control group(s)
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% day = training day within this window (0 = first analyzed day)
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% rat = subject (random intercept)
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%
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% Self-contained: reads data.csv beside this script and writes result.txt.
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% Run headless from this folder with: matlab -batch "analyze"
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% (This is a copy of analysis/matlab/variation_analyze.m; see make_variations.m.)
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here = fileparts(mfilename('fullpath'));
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if isempty(here); here = pwd; end
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vname = regexprep(here, '.*[/\\]', ''); % folder name = variation id
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D = readtable(fullfile(here, 'data.csv'), 'TextType', 'string');
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tbl = table(D.success, D.day - min(D.day), double(D.stim), categorical(D.subject), ...
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'VariableNames', {'behavior', 'day', 'stim', 'rat'});
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m = fitlme(tbl, 'behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat)');
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C = m.Coefficients; A = anova(m); ci = coefCI(m);
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As = anova(m, 'DFMethod', 'satterthwaite'); % Satterthwaite denominator DF
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% Honest test: refit with a per-animal random SLOPE so the interaction DF
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% collapses toward the animal count (guarded -- may not converge in short windows).
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rsP = NaN; rsDf = NaN; rsF = NaN; rsOk = false;
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wst = warning('off', 'all');
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try
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mr = fitlme(tbl, 'behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (day|rat)');
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Ar = anova(mr, 'DFMethod', 'satterthwaite');
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ri = strcmp(Ar.Term, 'day:stim');
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rsF = Ar.FStat(ri); rsDf = Ar.DF2(ri); rsP = Ar.pValue(ri); rsOk = true;
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catch
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end
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warning(wst);
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gi = @(t) find(strcmp(C.Name, t), 1);
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ga = @(t) find(strcmp(A.Term, t), 1);
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gs = @(t) find(strcmp(As.Term, t), 1);
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row = @(nm, t) sprintf('%-26s t(%d)=%6.2f F(%d)=%7.3f p=%.4g p=%.4g (df=%.0f)\n', nm, ...
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C.DF(gi(t)), C.tStat(gi(t)), A.DF1(ga(t)), A.FStat(ga(t)), C.pValue(gi(t)), ...
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As.pValue(gs(t)), As.DF2(gs(t)));
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maxT = max(D.day(D.stim == 1)); minT = min(D.day(D.stim == 1));
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maxC = max(D.day(D.stim == 0)); minC = min(D.day(D.stim == 0));
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if abs(maxT - maxC) > 2
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cov = '** WARNING: unequal day coverage -- interaction may be confounded. **';
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else
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cov = '(equal day coverage over this window)';
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end
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ii = gi('day:stim'); pI = C.pValue(ii); eI = C.Estimate(ii);
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if pI >= 0.05
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verdict = 'n.s. -- slopes parallel (no differential learning rate)';
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elseif eI > 0
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verdict = 'SIGNIFICANT positive -- treatment improves FASTER (benefit accumulates)';
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else
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verdict = 'SIGNIFICANT negative -- treatment improves SLOWER (groups converge)';
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end
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bar = repmat('=', 1, 78);
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raw = regexprep(evalc('disp(m)'), '</?strong>', '');
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s = sprintf('%s\nVARIATION: %s\n%s\n', bar, vname, bar);
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s = [s sprintf('model: behavior ~ stim + day + stim:day + (1|rat) (behavior = success COUNT)\n')];
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s = [s sprintf('day = training day within window (0 = first analyzed day)\n')];
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s = [s sprintf('treatment (stim=1): %s\n', strjoin(cellstr(unique(D.group(D.stim == 1))), ', '))];
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s = [s sprintf('control (stim=0): %s\n', strjoin(cellstr(unique(D.group(D.stim == 0))), ', '))];
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s = [s sprintf('N = %d rats, %d sessions raw day coverage: treat %d..%d, control %d..%d\n', ...
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numel(unique(D.subject)), height(D), minT, maxT, minC, maxC)];
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s = [s sprintf('%s\n\n%s\nFULL MODEL SUMMARY -- fitlme\n%s\n%s\n', cov, bar, bar, raw)];
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s = [s sprintf('%-26s %-18s %-12s %s\n%s\n', 'effect', 't(df) / F(df1)', 'p (resid)', 'Satterthwaite: p (df)', repmat('-', 1, 76))];
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s = [s row('stim x day (interaction)', 'day:stim')];
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s = [s row('day (learning)', 'day')];
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s = [s row('stim (main, window start)', 'stim')];
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s = [s sprintf('interaction 95%% CI: [%+.2f, %+.2f]\n', ci(ii, 1), ci(ii, 2))];
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if rsOk
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s = [s sprintf('HONEST LME (per-animal random slope, day|rat): interaction F(1,%.1f)=%.2f, p=%.4g\n', rsDf, rsF, rsP)];
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else
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s = [s sprintf('HONEST LME (per-animal random slope, day|rat): did not converge for this window.\n')];
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end
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s = [s sprintf([' (Satterthwaite DF ~= residual on this random-intercept model; the random-slope\n' ...
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' model above is the honest learning-rate test -- DF collapses toward the animal count.)\n'])];
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s = [s sprintf('INTERPRETATION: stim x day interaction %s (p=%.4g, slope diff=%+.2f)\n', verdict, pI, eI)];
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s = [s sprintf('Paper (N=24): interaction t(227)=2.68, F(1)=7.12, p=0.008.\n')];
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fprintf('%s', s);
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fid = fopen(fullfile(here, 'result.txt'), 'w');
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fprintf(fid, '%s', s);
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fclose(fid);
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% Machine-readable handoff for the summary table (see make_variations.m).
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VARRESULT = struct('name', vname, 'nRats', numel(unique(D.subject)), ...
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'nObs', height(D), 'interP', pI, 'interEst', eI, ...
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'interPsatt', As.pValue(gs('day:stim')), 'interPrs', rsP, ...
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'stimP', C.pValue(gi('stim')), 'dayP', C.pValue(gi('day')), ...
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'covEqual', abs(maxT - maxC) <= 2);
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